I've taken the trouble to create this thread to allow better focus.
The topic of a debate was raised by David Talbott, on Wed Feb 09, 2011 9:29 am:
David Talbott wrote:[...] let's organize a debate on the topic of the electric Sun, starting with the list of the key questions to be answered. We'll then publish the debate on the Thunderbolts website. All that will be required is that neither side in the debate be permitted to ignore evidence that is presented.
Does that make sense?
Nereid (Wed Feb 09, 2011 1:04 pm) wrote:Yes, it does.
And I applaud you for suggesting it.
I would be interested to know what you consider the rules of such a debate should be; for example, who gets to decide what an (observational) fact is?
Some background to this: based on many years' of posting in internet fora, I have come to conclude that meaningful dialogue is not possible, in astrophysics (especially that concerning things beyond our solar system), without pretty firm, mutual, agreement on the framework.
When I started posting here in this forum in earnest, I put a lot of time and effort into making my own views of what that framework should be clear. Subsequently, my conviction on the importance of establishing an agreed framework has been re-inforced, many, many times, in the exchanges of posts I've had with various Thunderbolts forum members (a recent example).
Physicist (Wed Feb 09, 2011 10:34 pm) wrote:Richard Dawkins had some insightful comments to make when he was similarly challenged by a creationist:David Talbott wrote:let's organize a debate on the topic of the electric Sun
http://richarddawkins.net/articles/119- ... eationistsDawkins wrote:". . . science keeps its playing field level by the rather admirable system of anonymous peer-review. If you have evidence that evolution is false, you are entirely at liberty to submit a paper to the Editor of Nature, or Science, or the Journal of Theoretical Biology, or the American Naturalist, or Biological Reviews, or the Quarterly Review of Biology, or any of hundreds of other reputable journals in which ordinary working scientists publish their research. Do not fear that Editors will reject it simply because it opposes evolution. On the contrary, the journal that published a paper which really did discover a fallacy in evolution, or convincing evidence against it, would have the scoop of the century, in scientific terms. Editors would kill to get their hands on it."
This challenge by me has ? of course ? gone unanswered. On my side the correspondence is terminated, although Priest/Mastropaolo went on bombarding me weekly with increasingly raucous accusations of cowardice. He reminds me of the Black Knight in Monty Python and the Holy Grail who continued, as a stump-waving, blood-spouting torso, to shout "Running away, eh? . . . Come back here and take what's coming to you. I'll bite your legs off" at the indifferent back of the opponent who had successively deprived him of all four limbs.
I hope that my recollection of Stephen Gould's wise words will encourage others to refuse all debating invitations from pseudoscientists avid for publicity. Quite a good plan, which I follow myself from time to time, is to recommend that the case for evolution could easily be entrusted to a local undergraduate majoring in biology. Alternatively, I plead a prior engagement: an important forthcoming debate against the Flat Earth Societ.y
David Talbott (Thu Feb 10, 2011 9:55 am) wrote:Okay Nereid, we'll do this. Though I'm traveling today, let's see if we can quickly clarify the purpose, format, and ground rules of a debate.
I've got a pretty good sense of what I'd like to see. Later today, I'll look over your own comments on the subject, but for starters here are a few of my own preferences:
We'll need to keep this to a one-on-one exchange, with both parties being free to pass the torch to a replacement. I'm saying this primarily for my own benefit. My time will be limited, and it's my plan to hand the torch to someone else rather early in the exchange, while reserving the right to carry it longer than I presently anticipate. I think it will be fine to run the exchange for five or six weeks. I'd like to end it officially six weeks after it begins, but will accept any preference on your part for ending it earlier. Of course, we should allow also for the debate to continue by mutual agreement.
Allowing time for personal research and consultation will also be important. Four to seven days between exchanges seems like a reasonable limit, given the more lasting and fundamental nature of the debate. Both of us should be free to take up to seven days in formulating a response. But there will be no limit on the speed of the exchange insofar as "faster" works for both parties. We'll also want to set limits on word count in order to maintain a reasonable balance.
We'll develop a list of questions we're called upon to answer, keeping the list as clearly focused as we can on clarifying the implications of two competing vantage points. I'd say that the questions should be framed in the most elementary terms, leaving no doubt as to the contrast between the standard perspective and the EU perspective of the Sun. Standard theory does not see any external electrical influence on the Sun. The EU does. Since this contrast is the most fundamental of all, is that a reasonable frame of reference for a debate?
The priority must be on establishing the factual underpinnings of the two views, while allowing for both specialized and interdisciplinary lines of reasoning. (Yes, I'm speaking a little loosely here, trusting we should be able to agree that experimental work and raw data returned by scientific instruments and space probes provide a good sense of the factual material to be considered.)
We'll take pains to keep the debate friendly and on course. We might even consider bringing in an agreed-upon arbitrator from outside the Thunderbolts circle, one who could at least make suggestions on applications of the ground rules.
The debate will be it's own thread, but a separate thread will be started in advance of the debate, to take comments and observations by others that might affect our vision for the debate. This thread will continue through the debate, and only the two debaters will be precluded from participation in the thread.
Both parties to the debate will be free to use the material, or references to it, in subsequent publication.
Personally, I'm making this commitment for three reasons. 1) I believe it will help our readers to understand the nature of the plasma universe and its particular applications in the Electric Universe hypothesis; 2) a debate will give us something more permanent and more helpful than a free-for-all (more content than most folks can follow, all virtually disappearing almost as fast as it is posted); and 3) having finished my work on the second DVD in the Alien Sky series, I could use a break.
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Incidentally, I see that Lloyd has suggested I might have some training in engineering. No. My interest in these things started with a study of cross-cultural evidence for extraordinary cosmic events in ancient times. Since the reconstructed events were entirely off the map of science, the study made crystal clear to me that an interdisciplinary approach, bringing together wide-ranging fields of investigation, is essential to an appreciation of planetary history.
Perhaps tomorrow morning I can speak with Dave Smith about moving ahead as briskly as time will allow.
Nereid (Sat Feb 12, 2011 8:48 am) wrote:I think this would be crucial; can you say more about who such an arbitrator might be, or how we'd go about finding (and agreeing) on one?David Talbott wrote:We might even consider bringing in an agreed-upon arbitrator from outside the Thunderbolts circle, one who could at least make suggestions on applications of the ground rules.
David Talbott (Sun Feb 13, 2011 7:59 am) wrote:One of the reasons why I've suggested a debate is that it could clarify the solid ground of the electric Sun hypothesis, while making more clear the issues calling for priority attention. Presently, I simply do not ask any of the Thunderbolts Project principals (apart from the moderators) to become active in the Forum. But I will be selectively drawing on their time if the debate can be agreed upon. That could bring a lot more understanding to the subject.
David Talbott (Sun Feb 13, 2011 10:52 am ) wrote:Primary currents (galactic) and secondary currents (heliospheric) have to be resolved in terms of the "bleeding" from the one to the other, a perfectly reasonable challenge. The challenge requires: 1) accurate raw data bearing directly on the figures to be used, and 2) a model reliably interpreting the data. This is, in fact, the necessary way forward. It's also (to repeat myself) a primary reason I'm eager to proceed with the proposed debate and to see just how far we might take these things, within a framework that will justify the invested time. This debate could be the best vehicle for developing essential communication across a huge chasm. If we do it right, everyone on all sides will agree it's been useful.
Nereid (Mon Feb 14, 2011 3:02 pm) wrote:From this post of yours, I think a key precondition is to get all relevant materials - on the Electric Sun hypothesis (etc) - published in a form that all can freely access.
David Talbott (Wed Feb 16, 2011 7:55 pm) wrote:But sincerely, Nereid, I'd really like to proceed with formulating a debate for everyone's benefit. If it would help, I'll send you the whole ebook on the electric sun, which outlines numerous reasons for considering the Sun to be part of galactic and heliospheric circuit. It's not a technical work, just a simple exposition with diagrams. It does not purport to offer a complete diagram of circuitry, just a good start. Wal himself was very much involved in the diagramming. And of course it was Wal who originally inspired Don Scott, a professor of electrical engineering, to begin investigating the electric hypothesis.
Orthogonal (Wed Feb 16, 2011 9:19 pm) wrote:Is there by chance a technical paper on the Electric Sun hypothesis and where would I find it?
Nereid (Thu Feb 17, 2011 9:36 am ) wrote:Thanks for the kind offer.David Talbott wrote:But sincerely, Nereid, I'd really like to proceed with formulating a debate for everyone's benefit. If it would help, I'll send you the whole ebook on the electric sun, which outlines numerous reasons for considering the Sun to be part of galactic and heliospheric circuit.
One, very important, thing I think we must try to ensure, in any debate of this kind, is that the audience (or at least Thunderbolts forum members) have full access to any and all material anyone involved in the debate uses. Do you agree?
[...]I have found no such technical paper; nick c's list contains none either (at least, not Scott's Electric Sun hypothesis).Orthogonal wrote:Is there by chance a technical paper on the Electric Sun hypothesis and where would I find it?
However, Thornhill's 2007 paper in IEEE Transactions on Plasma Science ("The Z-Pinch Morphology of Supernova 1987A and Electric Stars") comes close (unfortunately it's behind a paywall).
David Talbott (Thu Feb 17, 2011 8:42 pm) wrote:Additional peer reviewed papers are coming and are only months away, but the specialists themselves have to be confident that the data in hand really do allow for a reliable circuit diagram with associated numbers.
Nereid (Sat Feb 19, 2011 3:15 am ) wrote:If these are directly relevant to the Electric Sun hypothesis, wouldn't it be premature to have a debate about that hypothesis now?
David Talbott (Sat Feb 19, 2011 10:28 am) wrote:Unequivocally no on this one, Nereid. The best time for a debate is now, unless we are dead wrong in arguing that the Sun meets the elementary observational tests of a glow discharge. It's only rational for the observational tests to precede the more finite and specialized tests.
[...]
If we can mutually commit to the debate and work out the ground rules, I'll help get things started by answering your additional questions no later than tomorrow. If, out of respect for your schedule, we agree to begin the debate in early April, no one will complain. Then we can take whatever time is necessary to set up an even playing field. And we'll do all we can to orient folks to an exchange that will benefit everyone, including solar physicists who are really beginning to wonder about these things.
Nereid (Sun Feb 20, 2011 7:05 am) wrote:The topic of the debate is "the Electric Sun hypothesis (or model), as presented by Scott and Thornhill".David Talbott wrote:If we can mutually commit to the debate and work out the ground rules
Two key items I've raised so far are who an arbitrator might be, and how we'd go about finding (and agreeing) on one, and ensuring that all in the audience (or at least Thunderbolts forum members) have free access to all key material used in such a debate. A good place to start for the latter might be finding a way for Thornhill's 2007 paper to be made freely available.
David Talbott (Sun Feb 20, 2011 8:12 pm) wrote:Yes, of course the electric sun hypothesis involves more than external electric fields (heliospheric and galactic). But since the contrast with standard theory on this issue is so clear, it is a logical focal point for a debate and the most significant issue, bearing directly on the general validity of the larger EU hypothesis.Nereid wrote:The Electric Sun hypothesis (or model) - as proposed by Scott and Thornhill - involves considerably more than just the assumption that the Sun is strongly influenced by external electric fields; and little of the material either has presented (in the two sources I have cited) is observational evidence as I know it (not to mention that I have no idea what an 'elementary observational test of a glow discharge' would, or could, be).
I don't know where you get the idea there is sparse observational evidence for the Sun as a glow discharge. But let's make settling this issue a primary focus of the exchange.
Also, let's make sure that readers come away with a good sense of what is known, what is not known, and what can be intelligently surmised about the Sun's electrical circuitry. I can probably bring arbitrary figures much more meaningful than those you've given, but short of groundbreaking revelations from NASA concerning the geometries of electric fields and current flow in the Sun's domain, they will be arbitrary.
Of course electrons arrive and leave the Sun continuously. We're talking about circuitry. In terms of observational evidence, we can frame the debate this way: Is it reasonable for us to claim that the primary attributes of the Sun are unsolved mysteries for the standard model but are predictable if the Sun is a glow discharge powered by external electric currents?
Nereid (Mon Feb 21, 2011 4:41 pm ) wrote:From my point of view, the primary attributes of the Sun are as follows, in approximate order of importance:David Talbott wrote:In terms of observational evidence, we can frame the debate this way: Is it reasonable for us to claim that the primary attributes of the Sun are unsolved mysteries for the standard model but are predictable if the Sun is a glow discharge powered by external electric currents?
-> energy output, in the form of electromagnetic radiation, that is constant (to within <1%, over time periods ranging from seconds to centuries), and is 3.85 x 10^26 J/sec.
-> spherical in shape (to within ~1 part in 100,000), at the photosphere.
-> SED (spectral energy density, or distribution) approximately a blackbody, of temperature ~5,770 K.
-> average density of 1.4 kg per cubic metre.
As I said in an earlier post, the topic of the debate is "the Electric Sun hypothesis (or model), as presented by Scott and Thornhill".
I agree that a good place to start would be how, in detail, these four primary attributes of the Sun are accounted for (or explained, or ...) in the Electric Sun hypothesis (or model), as presented by Scott and Thornhill.
David Talbott (Mon Feb 21, 2011 8:14 pm ) wrote:Not so fast. That's the issue we're gong to debate. I'll make sure you have the Electric Universe chapter on the Sun and relevant material from Don Scott's book well in advance. (It appears you've read neither.) Additionally, I'll happily acknowledge the circuitry issues not fully resolved. And I'll bring some suggestions to the debate as to what a full circuit diagram might look like, despite the present lack of data from space.Nereid wrote:May I ask how you read either document as presenting observational evidence, that appears to be definitive, for the Sun as a glow discharge?
Nereid (Tue Feb 22, 2011 9:09 am ) wrote:The topic for the debates is the Electric Sun hypothesis (or model), as presented in ...David Talbott wrote:Not so fast. That's the issue we're gong to debate.Again, as I have written (more than once it seems), the material used should be freely available to all readers (or at least Thunderbolts forum members). I myself would like to see these made available well before the start.I'll make sure you have the Electric Universe chapter on the Sun and relevant material from Don Scott's book well in advance. (It appears you've read neither.)Good.And I'll bring some suggestions to the debate as to what a full circuit diagram might look like, despite the present lack of data from space.
Nereid (Wed Feb 23, 2011 2:05 pm ) wrote:Whatever merits such a line of argument may have, they are not part of this debate, are they?David Talbott wrote:When the facts involve quantified dimensions that are beyond the reach of a "standard" model, the model doesn't work.
I mean, the topic of the debate is the Electric Sun hypothesis (or model), as presented by Scott and/or Thornhill; it is most definitely not '1001 ways I think standard solar models fail'.
David Talbott (Wed Feb 23, 2011 4:18 pm ) wrote:My thoughts in anticipation of the debate, and in response to Nereid's latest.
1) Let me assure everyone that I certainly do intend to respond to both the calculations with which Nereid introduced this thread and the assumptions she brought to them. From what I've already said, readers can probably anticipate the direction of my response.
2) We should both honor the principle of falsifiability. A good model will not contradict itself, and it will not contradict confirmed fact.
3) it certainly would not be appropriate to make this just a debate about the electric sun model, ignoring a standard model that doesn't work. Given the challenge to standard theory, our respective aims should be to clarify the comparative advantages and disadvantages of two competing views of the Sun. My burden will be to show that what the standard model has failed to explain--after decades of investigation and at a cost of billions of dollars--are predictable attributes of an electric sun. Also, given the interpretation of the Sun as a glow discharge along galactic current filaments, there is good reason to draw upon more general evidence relating to star formation and high energy stellar events.
4) Wal Thornhill's and Don Scott's treatment of the Sun can be the primary references, with the understanding that they do not suggest exactly the same thing on certain details. Also, somewhere along the way, misjudgments or miscalculations are a certainty. It's never been otherwise in the sciences, particularly in the early stages of model formulation. For example, as I said earlier, the nature of the heliospheric circuitry, for good reason, is not sufficiently detailed. This is why, for me, the debate is really about the overriding issue at stake: the contribution of a heliospheric electric field to solar behavior. Since the contrast with the standard model on this issue is so clear, it would not make sense to obscure the heart of the issue in the way we frame the debate.
5) Nereid, I have no desire to exclude from the debate the four attributes of the Sun you'e listed and which I called "trivial" (for the simple reason that "explaining" them will not give a reason to believe either model). Were you thinking that this is where the electric explanation would likely stumble?
6) I've been thinking about the mediator question, and this is probably a good time to take suggestions. Also, Nereid has requested free access to the basic material on the electric sun, at least for forum members. That's probably a good idea, and I'll see what I can work out.
Nereid (Thu Feb 24, 2011 12:59 pm) wrote:That's great to hear Dave!David Talbott wrote:1) Let me assure everyone that I certainly do intend to respond to both the calculations with which Nereid introduced this thread and the assumptions she brought to them. From what I've already said, readers can probably anticipate the direction of my response.
All you other readers, please jump in, now, with your responses, questions, challenges, etc.Even better!!2) We should both honor the principle of falsifiability. A good model will not contradict itself, and it will not contradict confirmed fact.
I'd like to spend some time on making sure we're on the same page with what this means, and how to address mis-aligned perceptions (of which there are certain to be some), but not in this post.That's also most welcome.4) Wal Thornhill's and Don Scott's treatment of the Sun can be the primary references, with the understanding that they do not suggest exactly the same thing on certain details. Also, somewhere along the way, misjudgments or miscalculations are a certainty. It's never been otherwise in the sciences, particularly in the early stages of model formulation. For example, as I said earlier, the nature of the heliospheric circuitry, for good reason, is not sufficiently detailed.
A corollary is that it will be important to identify limits, in terms of calculations, judgments, and the scope of various models (and their versions).And the ultimate arbiter will be, of course, objective, independently verifiable observations of solar behaviour.the debate is really about the overriding issue at stake: the contribution of a heliospheric electric field to solar behavior
Given this, perhaps a good place to start might be as accurate a description of this heliospheric electric field as possible?
(Yes, I skipped 3) ... see below)I honestly don't know.5) Nereid, I have no desire to exclude from the debate the four attributes of the Sun you'e listed and which I called "trivial" (for the simple reason that "explaining" them will not give a reason to believe either model). Were you thinking that this is where the electric explanation would likely stumble?
When questions concerning these four - usually one at a time - were put to those promoting (or defending) the Electric Sun hypothesis (ESh; whether identified as such or not), on other fora, I'd say no ESh promoter/defender has provided a good explanation. Certainly none - that I can recall reading - has shown how the ESh can account for Sun's observed energy output (in the form of electromagnetic radiation), of a constant 3.85 x 10^26 J/sec.What say ye, silent (forum member) readers? Got any good ideas re a mediator?6) I've been thinking about the mediator question, and this is probably a good time to take suggestions. Also, Nereid has requested free access to the basic material on the electric sun, at least for forum members. That's probably a good idea, and I'll see what I can work out.That may not be a good idea, for reasons that should become apparent in the rest of this post (and, most likely, subsequent ones).3) it certainly would not be appropriate to make this just a debate about the electric sun model, ignoring a standard model that doesn't work.As any theory (model, hypothesis, etc) - within the domain of human endeavour we're working; crudely, astrophysics - should stand on its own two feet, quite independently of how well (or otherwise) any other theory does, mixing things up like this would be an extremely bad idea (IMHO).Given the challenge to standard theory, our respective aims should be to clarify the comparative advantages and disadvantages of two competing views of the Sun.
Have two separate debates, by all means, but this sort of side-by-side suggestion makes it all too easy for the logical fallacy of false dichotomy to befuddle our minds.
(This fallacy may be summarised, with contrast turned waaaay up, as:
"The Big Bang theory is wrong because {insert reasons/observations/logic/etc here}; THEREFORE my theory {insert as much, or little, detail as you wish here} MUST be right!"
Leaving aside the fact that 'my theory' may be nothing more than random strings of letters, the fallacy includes the assumption that one, and only one, alternative must be correct. Logically, there are four possibilities, assuming binary - CORRECT/NOT CORRECT - values: A correct, B correct, both A and B correct, neither A nor B correct).
There are also several practical matters. For example, any reasonable challenge to standard theory would require citing primary sources in which that theory is presented.Isn't this somewhat different from 2) - "falsifiability"?My burden will be to show that what the standard model has failed to explain--after decades of investigation and at a cost of billions of dollars--are predictable attributes of an electric sun.As important, if not key, parts of the ESh, I agree.Also, given the interpretation of the Sun as a glow discharge along galactic current filaments, there is good reason to draw upon more general evidence relating to star formation and high energy stellar events.
Orthogonal (Thu Feb 24, 2011 6:24 pm) wrote:Just wanted to add my 2 cents. Typically, the two debating parties would agree to strict definitions and terms before the debate begins. Rigorous and clear definitions will avoid a lot of ambiguity and miscommunication in the formal arguments. The definition of terms and all rules would be posted at the beginning of the debate for all observers to see.Nereid wrote:That's also most welcome.David Talbott wrote:4) Wal Thornhill's and Don Scott's treatment of the Sun can be the primary references, with the understanding that they do not suggest exactly the same thing on certain details. Also, somewhere along the way, misjudgments or miscalculations are a certainty. It's never been otherwise in the sciences, particularly in the early stages of model formulation. For example, as I said earlier, the nature of the heliospheric circuitry, for good reason, is not sufficiently detailed.
A corollary is that it will be important to identify limits, in terms of calculations, judgments, and the scope of various models (and their versions).This may be a difficult task to accomplish, however, it may be possible to proceed without a mediator. I think you were planning on using this forum for the debate, but you could try to use a third party site like http://www.debate.org or other sites you can google. There are numerous examples to look at, but using this, or implementing a similar format on this forum, could allow you to proceed within a predefined and mutually agreed upon structure for arguments.Nereid wrote:What say ye, silent (forum member) readers? Got any good ideas re a mediator?David Talbott wrote:6) I've been thinking about the mediator question, and this is probably a good time to take suggestions. Also, Nereid has requested free access to the basic material on the electric sun, at least for forum members. That's probably a good idea, and I'll see what I can work out.I agree with Nereid. In a debate, it should be structured around a single topic. There would be one statement or proposition under debate. i.e. "The Sun is powered electrically". One party would be "Pro" or "Affirmative" and the other party "Con" or "Negative". The parties then take turn with argument/rebuttal under whatever rules you define. Each individual argument should cite sources for data and observations wherever possible. The Standard Model theory of solar physics (or any other theory) should never be invoked directly in any argument For or Against the main Proposition. The model should stand on data and direct observation alone. If warranted, the conclusion of the debate could easily segue into a second debate around the Standard Model.Nereid wrote:That may not be a good idea, for reasons that should become apparent in the rest of this post (and, most likely, subsequent ones).David Talbott wrote:3) it certainly would not be appropriate to make this just a debate about the electric sun model, ignoring a standard model that doesn't work.As any theory (model, hypothesis, etc) - within the domain of human endeavour we're working; crudely, astrophysics - should stand on its own two feet, quite independently of how well (or otherwise) any other theory does, mixing things up like this would be an extremely bad idea (IMHO).Given the challenge to standard theory, our respective aims should be to clarify the comparative advantages and disadvantages of two competing views of the Sun.
Have two separate debates, by all means, but this sort of side-by-side suggestion makes it all too easy for the logical fallacy of false dichotomy to befuddle our minds.
David Talbott (Thu Feb 24, 2011 8:11 pm ) wrote:I think we can all agree in advance that disproving theory A does not prove theory B, except to the extent stated by Sherlock Holmes: if every possibility other than theory B is logically disproved, what is left standing (B) must be true.Nereid wrote:As any theory (model, hypothesis, etc) - within the domain of human endeavour we're working; crudely, astrophysics - should stand on its own two feet, quite independently of how well (or otherwise) any other theory does, mixing things up like this would be an extremely bad idea (IMHO).David Talbott wrote:Given the challenge to standard theory, our respective aims should be to clarify the comparative advantages and disadvantages of two competing views of the Sun.
The electric sun hypothesis can only be true if the standard model is false, and for that reason alone I'd prefer not to separate the two questions. Additionally, I can't think of any way to more efficiently clarify certain issues than to systematically compare predictive ability, an approach that is used all the time when assessing competing ideas. Of course this does not remove the absolute requirement that we state the independent rationale for the electric sun as clearly as possible.It happens that my own life's work has involved decades of reflecting on the relationship between "falsifiability" and "predictive power." Logically, these are two faces of the same principle. Every falsifiable idea involves inescapable and testable predictions.Nereid wrote:Isn't this somewhat different from 2) - "falsifiability"?David Talbott wrote:My burden will be to show that what the standard model has failed to explain--after decades of investigation and at a cost of billions of dollars--are predictable attributes of an electric sun.
A model is most eminently testable when its predictions are beyond dispute and when it is only necessary to look, or ask the right question, to get the answer. Many aspects of the Electric Universe hypothesis meet this requirement, though it's primarily through the interdisciplinary investigation that this point becomes emphatic.
When large scale paradigms are at stake, examining predictive power (falsifiability) will often produce much more reliable results than purely theoretical "explanations" (things that could be true but could just as well be an arbitrary retrofitting to untestable assumptions). That's a point I intend to elaborate separately in advance of the debate, so we won't have to devote time to this issue in the debate itself.
Incidentally, I see that Orthogonal has sided with Nereid on the issue of limiting the debate to a stand-alone proposition concerning the electric Sun. I appreciate the honest opinion, though I disagree with it for several reasons, and I'd like to hear what others have to say. In my own experience, nothing acts more powerfully to prevent thoughtful investigation of the electric sun than the supposition that "ten thousand scientists can't be wrong." To me the failure of the standard model is a major reason to consider the electric model, and comparing the predictive ability of two models, one dynamic issue at a time, makes all the difference in the world. It's important to know that electric fields accelerate charged particles, but it's also important to know if anything imagined by proponents of standard theory can accelerate charged particles up to the observed velocities of the solar wind. Many issues of this sort do seem to require a systematic comparison of predictive power.
On the matter of a moderator or arbitrator, I wonder if any folks here know the movers behind Ted.com. whose theme is "ideas worth spreading." It would be a long shot to look in that direction, but this group was on my short list when I first suggested we consider a moderator.
Though Orthogonal could be correct that we can get by without a mediator, it would probably help to have a truly independent voice involved. Just to hear Orthogonal's independent opinion was a good example.
Orthogonal (Thu Feb 24, 2011 8:54 pm) wrote:It seems that you are proposing, not a debate exactly, but a collaborative (competitive?) detailed and thorough juxtaposition of the two model's. Both parties would present their case and directly compare them on specific aspects of solar phenomena. This is where a mediator or some independent and objective observer would become important with a purpose of resolving contentions one party has over the details of the opposition claims.David Talbott wrote:I appreciate the honest opinion, though I disagree with it for several reasons, and I'd like to hear what others have to say. In my own experience, nothing acts more powerfully to prevent thoughtful investigation of the electric sun than the supposition that "ten thousand scientists can't be wrong." To me the failure of the standard model is a major reason to consider the electric model, and comparing the predictive ability of two models, one dynamic issue at a time, makes all the difference in the world. It's important to know that electric fields accelerate charged particles, but it's also important to know if anything imagined by proponents of standard theory can accelerate charged particles up to the observed velocities of the solar wind. Many issues of this sort do seem to require a systematic comparison of predictive power.
David Talbott (Fri Feb 25, 2011 6:44 am ) wrote:Oh... Thanks for the prompt Orthogonal.
I've just realized that, in my eagerness to compare the predictive abilities of two models, I failed to affirm the original proposed topic for the debate—the proposition that the Sun is a glow discharge, powered by galactic currents. I've not changed my mind on this at all. It's just that, in setting up the ground rules, I don't think we'd want to exclude discussion of a model almost universally taken for granted. Were we not free to enumerate the anomalies left hanging within the supposed "settled science," we'd lose the primary reason for the debate.
archmage (Fri Feb 25, 2011 11:57 am ) wrote:Note: I'm NOT on any one side:
If the debate is to be that broad, then I'd hope it to include some discussion or summary refutation against relativity, which of course is the basis of the modern standard model.
I read through some of the "Blackhole" thread, AKA Crothers vs Sharples/Physicist, and with my elementary knowledge of differential geometry and relativity (it has been 5+ years, I'm rusty, and I'm not a physicist), I must admit that while I empathize with some of Crothers' points, Sharples' delineation of the matter is easier to follow. I'm clearly not qualified to make an assessment, however - that'd require a far subtler understanding, whereas I am just barely apt to perform procedural calculations (and then only after some quick referencing of related materials).
As I understand it, a refutation of relativity may have to be external, as it seems somewhat airtight within its own applicability. I'd like to see this forum's viewpoint - a collection of contrary evidence (gravity propagation, experimental conflicts not attributed to lack of error correction, etc).
If the debate is to be centered around just a single topic, then hell: I'd still love it if someone could point me in the right direction. It's certainly difficult to compile detailed information on EU-theory. I think this theory would be helped significantly if most of the information included in the available books were freely printed online.
I do think that perhaps the role of EM should be further investigated...
Thanks for doing this, both Nereid and D. Talbott.
mharratsc (Sun Feb 27, 2011 11:36 am) wrote:Whereas it would be relatively easy to find a mediator for a strictly logical debate of a single topic, a comparative analysis between competing models is going to be much more difficult, I think.
For the latter, we would need to find someone familiar with plasma dynamics (or able to easily comprehend referenced material) and also a familiarity with GR and able to understand the dynamics of standard model gravity/mass calculations. I would suggest that they should be competent mathematically without being predominantly mathematicians.
Otherwise, we'd probably need a mediator team to keep track of things... :\
In my opinion, we're probably looking at asking for the assistance of another physical discipline that understands the underlying dynamics of both models. Chemistry? Geology, perhaps?
That's the last 'debate' post prior to my absence in March.Nereid (Mon Feb 28, 2011 12:18 pm) wrote:I know there's a smilie there, but I want to be very clear about this ... in science (or at least physics), it is literally impossible to even enumerate every other possibility, much less rule them out as being quantitatively inconsistent with all relevant, objective, independently verifiable observations (and 'logical proof' is not part of science at all, is it?)David Talbott wrote:I think we can all agree in advance that disproving theory A does not prove theory B, except to the extent stated by Sherlock Holmes: if every possibility other than theory B is logically disproved, what is left standing (B) must be true.This is certainly implicit in many of the materials published on the topic of the Electric Sun hypothesis (or model), and may also be stated explicitly too.The electric sun hypothesis can only be true if the standard model is false
However, is it true?
For it to be true, at the very least there would need to be a clear, definitive (etc) statement of "the standard model"; is there such a thing? To be sure, there are certainly 'standard solar models' (or similar); however, they do not - as far as I know - address many of the things in the Electric Sun hypothesis (e.g. the nature of the heliosheath/heliopause/termination shock, and Birkeland currents in the interstellar medium).
More fundamentally, physics is not concerned with truth - in the sense of 'be true' and 'is false' - is it? Aren't the two fundamental (sets of) questions to be answered something like:
-> to what extent are all relevant, objective, independently verifiable observations quantitatively (in)consistent with the model/theory/hypothesis under consideration?
-> to what extent is the model/theory/hypothesis under consideration free from intolerable internal inconsistencies?
In short, what are the criteria by which we are seeking to judge the Electric Sun hypothesis?Perhaps, then, we should spend some time on what the purpose of the debate is?I can't think of any way to more efficiently clarify certain issues than to systematically compare predictive ability
Is it, as you seem to imply, an exercise primarily aimed at clarifying issues?
Or is it about comparing predictive abilities (whatever they are)?
Or is it about quantitative consistency with all relevant, objective, independently verifiable observations (i.e. explanatory power)?
Or is it about internal consistency?Myself, this is where I think we should start.Of course this does not remove the absolute requirement that we state the independent rationale for the electric sun as clearly as possible.I think time spent making sure we are all on the same page with these concepts would be time very well spend indeed.It happens that my own life's work has involved decades of reflecting on the relationship between "falsifiability" and "predictive power." Logically, these are two faces of the same principle. Every falsifiable idea involves inescapable and testable predictions.
For example, what is the relationship between 'testable predictions' and 'quantitative consistency with all relevant, objective, independently verifiable observations'?To what extent is this (fully) equivalent to 'A model is most eminently testable when all observables can be derived from it - objectively and independently verifiably - AND when all such observables have been - objectively and independently verifiably - shown to be quantitatively consistent with all relevant observations'?A model is most eminently testable when its predictions are beyond dispute and when it is only necessary to look, or ask the right question, to get the answer.If so, then my re-phrasing of the first sentence in that para must be wrong; as far as I can tell, almost none of the aspects of the published Electric Sun hypothesis (or model) meet them.Many aspects of the Electric Universe hypothesis meet this requirement, though it's primarily through the interdisciplinary investigation that this point becomes emphatic.In order to discuss this, I think it's important that we first clarify the equivalence - or otherwise! - of our two statements.When large scale paradigms are at stake, examining predictive power (falsifiability) will often produce much more reliable results than purely theoretical "explanations" (things that could be true but could just as well be an arbitrary retrofitting to untestable assumptions). That's a point I intend to elaborate separately in advance of the debate, so we won't have to devote time to this issue in the debate itself.It's certainly true that there seems to be a very big difference of opinion on this matter.In my own experience, nothing acts more powerfully to prevent thoughtful investigation of the electric sun than the supposition that "ten thousand scientists can't be wrong." To me the failure of the standard model is a major reason to consider the electric model, and comparing the predictive ability of two models, one dynamic issue at a time, makes all the difference in the world.This makes it even more important that the objective (purpose) of the debate be clear, that the criteria for making assessments (of almost any kind) be elaborated and agreed, etc. A moderator's job is to impartially adjudicate; they can only do so within the framework of clearly stated guidelines.Orthogonal wrote:It seems that you are proposing, not a debate exactly, but a collaborative (competitive?) detailed and thorough juxtaposition of the two model's. Both parties would present their case and directly compare them on specific aspects of solar phenomena. This is where a mediator or some independent and objective observer would become important with a purpose of resolving contentions one party has over the details of the opposition claims.
Take falsifiability.
Per some earlier comments/posts in this thread, a single 'contrary fact' would be sufficient to end the debate! Such a 'contrary fact', however, needs to be established within the agreed framework; what is a 'fact'? how does one establish that it is 'contrary'? For example, if, in the Electric Sun hypothesis, the Sun below the photosphere has a significantly lower temperature (than the photosphere), and if a core assumption of the Electric Sun hypothesis is 'all of classical physics', then can an application of thermodynamics lead to a 'contrary fact'? Or would that be an 'internal inconsistency'?What, then, is the standard model?David Talbott wrote:I've just realized that, in my eagerness to compare the predictive abilities of two models, I failed to affirm the original proposed topic for the debate—the proposition that the Sun is a glow discharge, powered by galactic currents.This raises a very important distinction I think we need to spend some time on; namely, the difference between an 'anomaly' (or 'mystery') and a 'contrary fact'.Were we not free to enumerate the anomalies left hanging within the supposed "settled science," we'd lose the primary reason for the debate.
For example, it might be claimed that the observed temperature of the corona is an anomaly within the standard solar model, and it might be claimed that it is a contrary fact; are the two the same? Myself I don't think so. Why? Because within the standard solar model (whatever it is) there may be many possible explanations for the observed temperature distribution of the corona, all of them quantitatively consistent with all relevant observations; the mystery may be nothing more than an inability - at this time - to distinguish between these many different mechanisms and process to decide which (or which combination of) best fits. In that sense, there is no contrary fact.
On the other hand, it could well be that the calculations in the opening post of this thread, together, constitute a contrary fact with respect to the Electric Sun hypothesis, not just an anomaly or mystery.As I understand it, electrical theorists have no issue with any aspect of classical physics, and certainly none with Maxwell's equations (as you no doubt know, there is a very tight relationship between Maxwell's equations and special relativity).archmage wrote:If the debate is to be that broad, then I'd hope it to include some discussion or summary refutation against relativity, which of course is the basis of the modern standard model.
Nor, as I understand it, do they have any issue with the application of quantum mechanics and special relativity that produces atomic theory and (key parts of) nuclear physics (e.g. fusion reactions).
Extending the debate to such matters as the validity of classical physics (etc) would, IMHO, take us far too far from what most of us are actually interested in here.It would seem that, by 'relativity', you mean the general theory of relativity (GR), not special relativity; is that so?I read through some of the "Blackhole" thread, AKA Crothers vs Sharples/Physicist, and with my elementary knowledge of differential geometry and relativity (it has been 5+ years, I'm rusty, and I'm not a physicist), [...]
If so, then I'm lost; can you clarify please? As far as I know, GR is pretty much irrelevant so far as standard solar models are concerned (it's certainly irrelevant to the Electric Sun hypothesis!).As with my question to archmage, why do you think GR is relevant?mharratsc wrote:For the latter, we would need to find someone familiar with plasma dynamics (or able to easily comprehend referenced material) and also a familiarity with GR and able to understand the dynamics of standard model gravity/mass calculations. I would suggest that they should be competent mathematically without being predominantly mathematicians.
In any case, perhaps the BAUT moderator tusenfem would make an ideal moderator? He certainly has deep familiarity with plasma dynamics, a good grasp of the standard solar model (whatever it is), is adequately competent mathematically (but is not a mathematician)!

