Quake Prediction 2010

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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby tolenio » Sun Mar 21, 2010 3:21 pm

Hello,

There was a geomagnetic storm on Frebruary 15th it takes twelve days for the plasmoid to move between the entry point and the Nazca tectonic plate's westerly edge.

Image

As you can see that fault line is simply an extension of the San Andreas fault that runs into the southern hemisphere and down off the coast of Chile. When the left edge of the plate moves right edge moves too.

Image

As you can see there was plenty of plasma leaking in on the 15th to create a large plasmoid.

Same thing happened last year with a large plasmoid rolling over the mid-Atlantic ridge fault affecting Italy. There was a geomagnetic storm on March 13, 2009 and it takes approx 26 days to reach the mid Atlantic ridge fault and the quake occurred April 6, 2009. Follow the fault line affecting Italy back to the mid-Atlantic ridge.

Geomagnetic data is here;
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/warehouse/2009/2009_DGD.txt

Tom
"The Pharisees and the scholars have taken the keys of knowledge and have hidden them. They have not entered nor have they allowed those who want to enter to do so. As for you, be as sly as snakes and as simple as doves." Gospel of Thomas http://www.gnosis.org/naghamm/gthlamb.html
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby tolenio » Mon Mar 22, 2010 6:06 am

Hello,

Here is a look at the plasmoids formed March 12th and their progress eastward with an estimated arrival at the North American and Nazca tectonic faults westerly edges on ~March 24,2010;

Image

As you can see the plasmoids are ~2 days from reaching the tectonic faults. It also appears that the solar plasma polariztion was primarily distributed to the southern hemisphere.

This means a smaller California quake <~5 and a larger South American quake (most likely Chile) >~5.

Just estimations on my part.

Tom
"The Pharisees and the scholars have taken the keys of knowledge and have hidden them. They have not entered nor have they allowed those who want to enter to do so. As for you, be as sly as snakes and as simple as doves." Gospel of Thomas http://www.gnosis.org/naghamm/gthlamb.html
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby ElecGeekMom » Mon Mar 22, 2010 7:20 am

Where did you get that graphic--the map showing the plate boundaries and the locations of (I assume) lightning?
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby tolenio » Mon Mar 22, 2010 8:08 am

Hello,

Some things you have to do yourself. It is an approximation.

Simply overlay a tectonic fault map and and lightning napping. It makes more sense when you add a third overlay of the planetary magnetic field strength mapping, but it gets confusing to look at for many.

When you overlay magnetic field strength mapping and surface temperature you can tell where the plasma like to head.

Image

Plasma heads for low magnetic field strength areas normally. Elevated levels of plasma start their journey at higher latitudes. That means el nino and la nina are plasma/plasmoid events that affect surface temperatures, and plasma levels are tied the solar cycles and how much plasma the sun is throwing off during the compounded values of numerous cycles running concurrently.

Take the cooling period of the 70's and the recent global warming scares. Simply take the solar Ap progression from 1932 to current values and then overlay the six shortest cycles (I calculate there are ~38 cycles running concurrently and we have only identified the shorter cycle harmonics) and you get this mapping;

Image

The cooling period of the 70's was due to a preponderance of cycle minima in the shorter solar cycles. The recent warming period was due to most of the cycles being in moderation simultaneously. What runs the cycles... Interstelar plasma density of the torroidal magnetic field of the galaxy that we move through in an oscillating orbit.

So you can see climate, geology, etc. are all about solar plasma (driven by interstellar plasma) and the plasmoids trapped within our magnetosphere.

Tom

Tom
"The Pharisees and the scholars have taken the keys of knowledge and have hidden them. They have not entered nor have they allowed those who want to enter to do so. As for you, be as sly as snakes and as simple as doves." Gospel of Thomas http://www.gnosis.org/naghamm/gthlamb.html
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby thane » Wed Mar 24, 2010 7:12 am

Tom,

How do you determine the lat/long of where the plasmoid leaks into the magnetosphere?

Once determined - I know you are using lightning data to track the plasmoid. When do they dissipate?

Do you have any theory as to how they transfer their force to the plates?

I think the Peru 5.3 of YESTERDAY may be related to your prediction for Today. I'm guessing the tracking of the plasmoid is not precise.
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby Ion01 » Wed Mar 24, 2010 8:45 am

Aftershocks continue after magnitude 3.7 in Lincoln County (2:45 PM, 03/22/2010)

Six aftershocks ranging in magnitude from 1.7 to 2.9 have occurred since the M 3.7 earthquake which occurred at 9:37 PM CDT March 21, 2010. Three of these aftershocks have been felt in the epicentral area.

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Continued Installation of NetQuakes Instruments in Eastern Oklahoma County (2:43 PM, 03/22/2010)

We are looking for volunteers to temporarily host seismic instruments in eastern Oklahoma County. These instruments are small, about the size of a shoe box, and should be placed in a quiet place out of the way. We are looking to install instruments in Harrah and Spencer. To learn some of the basics about the NetQuakes please visit the USGS NetQuakes Website.

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--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Magnitude 3.7 March 21 09:37 PM CDT in Lincoln County (2:43 PM, 03/22/2010)

A magnitude 3.7 earthquake occurred at 2010-03-22 02:37 18.7 s (UTC) or 3/21 9:37 PM CDT in Lincoln County. The Oklahoma Geological has been receiving felt reports in the area.

Report Feeling This Earthquake

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Magnitude 2.4 Mar. 19, 2010 5:07 PM CDT (8:26 PM, 03/19/2010) (10:59 PM, 03/19/2010)

A magnitude 2.4 (mbLg) occurred 2010-3-19 22:07 27.5s UTC. This earthquake was located in Oklahoma County 1.9 miles west-northwest of Spencer, OK. This earthquake has been reported felt.

Report Feeling this Earthquake

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http://www.okgeosurvey1.gov/

Theres been a lot going on in oklahoma where there has yet to be a single fault line discovered!
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby tolenio » Wed Mar 24, 2010 8:46 am

Tracking is not precise.

Plasmoids in the souther hemisphere seem to track ahead of northern plasmoids.

I believe the entry point is related to plasma speed/density and polarization. The higher the density the higher in latitude the entry point.

If you look a this mapping you can see how the souther hemisphere leads the northern hemispehre;

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/globalir.html

Almost seems to take a plot more of a 45 degree angle where in the north you are more likely to see phi moving eastward.

The electromotive force is simply the plasma grounding out at tectonic faults. The exact mechanism of this grounding I do not have.

Tom
"The Pharisees and the scholars have taken the keys of knowledge and have hidden them. They have not entered nor have they allowed those who want to enter to do so. As for you, be as sly as snakes and as simple as doves." Gospel of Thomas http://www.gnosis.org/naghamm/gthlamb.html
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby tolenio » Wed Mar 24, 2010 8:59 am

Hi,

A fault has been found in OK and there is a large negative magnetic anomally there too. (Ames Structure).

They believe the Ames Structure is a meteorite impact site. The fault was only recently found.

Possibly the impact created a grounding point for plasma, and that electromotive force is creating the fault over time.

Tom
"The Pharisees and the scholars have taken the keys of knowledge and have hidden them. They have not entered nor have they allowed those who want to enter to do so. As for you, be as sly as snakes and as simple as doves." Gospel of Thomas http://www.gnosis.org/naghamm/gthlamb.html
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby tolenio » Wed Mar 24, 2010 9:10 am

Hi,

A fault has been found in OK (Meers fault) and there is a large negative magnetic anomally there too. (Ames Structure).

Image

Image

Image

They believe the Ames Structure is a meteorite impact site. The fault was only recently found.

Possibly the impact created a grounding point for plasma, and that electromotive force is creating the fault over time.

Tom
"The Pharisees and the scholars have taken the keys of knowledge and have hidden them. They have not entered nor have they allowed those who want to enter to do so. As for you, be as sly as snakes and as simple as doves." Gospel of Thomas http://www.gnosis.org/naghamm/gthlamb.html
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby thane » Thu Mar 25, 2010 9:58 am

No greater than background CA quake. Any idea where the plasmoid went?

Where are you getting your K index graph. I found the textual version but nothing else.

Thanks!
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby Ion01 » Fri Mar 26, 2010 9:21 am

I was aware of the Ames structure but not the fault. Is it an assumed fault (there are earthquakes around the area so there must be a fault) or have they actually found one (if you get my drift)?
I beleive the evidence points to (as you eluded to) the fault being a result of the earthquake and not what causes the earthquake.
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby tolenio » Fri Mar 26, 2010 9:38 am

Simply go to Google and type in "Meers fault".

Tom
"The Pharisees and the scholars have taken the keys of knowledge and have hidden them. They have not entered nor have they allowed those who want to enter to do so. As for you, be as sly as snakes and as simple as doves." Gospel of Thomas http://www.gnosis.org/naghamm/gthlamb.html
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby ElecGeekMom » Fri Mar 26, 2010 9:59 am

The Ames structure is in northwest Oklahoma.

The Meers Fault is in southwest Oklahoma.

The recent earthquakes have been mostly east of Oklahoma City, which is in the center of the state.

In other words, the Ames structure and the Meers Fault are about a 2- to 3-hour drive away from the many quakes of 2009 and 2010.

The NetQuakes devices that are newly being used in the quake areas (mostly in the Jones and Choctaw area) are said to be identifying a new fault.

My personal feeling is that, since most of the quakes in 2009 and 2010 have been very close to railroads and/or interstate highways, they are related to activity at injection wells. Look up Cleburne, TX. They were experiencing EQs near there. A couple of injection wells got closed down on the hunch that they were helping cause the quakes. Now their quakes have ceased.

I conceive the possibility that the railroads (and probably 18-wheelers) are being used to haul in mineral-rich oilfield brine and other waste and disposing of it in injection wells. I have a clipping of a story about a location near Bokoshe where waste from Arkansas has been hauled to a disposal site (not an injection well) in tremendous quantities because Arkansas started shutting down its injection wells last year (not without complaint by the neighbors, by the way). I figure that the EQs in Arkansas became more numerous lately because people in Oklahoma have been objecting to the practice. If the producers can't dispose of their waste in Oklahoma, they have probably been finding ways to dispose of it in Arkansas.

Of course, the disposing of the waste in and of itself may not necessarily cause an earthquake. It may require the "trigger" of the grounding out of the plasma. That would explain the timing.

I had a note on my calendar to watch for a quake near Oklahoma's longitude yesterday or today. There was a 6.2 EQ in Chile this morning, as well as a 2.4 in Arkansas. Perhaps most of the plasmoid went south of the equator. Perhaps there wasn't a quake in Oklahoma because last week was spring break and many people were either out of town or had to stay home with their kids. In other words, maybe the truck drivers weren't moving as much brine, etc.
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby tolenio » Tue Mar 30, 2010 6:17 pm

Here is a good example that is not Oklahoma...

3.0 M - MAINE
Preliminary Earthquake Report Magnitude 3.0 M
Date-Time 30 Mar 2010 20:42:18 UTC
30 Mar 2010 16:42:18 near epicenter
30 Mar 2010 14:42:18 standard time in your timezone

Location 44.672N 68.752W

Image

The quake ocurred at a negative magnetic anomaly (see map at URL below);

http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2004/1258/HTML/ME_small_mag_map.htm

And there is plasma in the area warming the sky;

Image

All the tell tale signs of plasma grounding out in the vicinity of a negative magnetic anolay creating electromotive force.

Tom
"The Pharisees and the scholars have taken the keys of knowledge and have hidden them. They have not entered nor have they allowed those who want to enter to do so. As for you, be as sly as snakes and as simple as doves." Gospel of Thomas http://www.gnosis.org/naghamm/gthlamb.html
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Re: Quake Prediction 2010

Unread postby ElecGeekMom » Wed Mar 31, 2010 2:56 pm

That plasma picture didn't come across. Can you try it again?
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